sunset from behind the wire

sunset from behind the wire

Monday, August 17, 2009

Developments in Iran

The recent street protests in Iran has shaken Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei to the extent that a new internal security force loyal only to him has been formed and fielded. The unit has been named Haydaryan (haydar=lion).

The Shiia believe that the Prophet Mohammed's son-in-law, Ali should have been the prophet's successor. His nickname was Haydar.

Best Guess: The Haydaryan will be fielded to apply force to maintain the Supreme Leader's position against rival clerics and to keep a close eye on the Islamic Revolutionary Guard.

I am personally surprised that the situation of the Supreme leader seems to be so vulnerable as to require the Haydaryan to be formed.




How do you think this will impact Iran's foreign policy decisions?

11 comments:

  1. Sounds like Obama's civil defense corps. Everybody needs a private army, right?

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  2. Alialioutsinfree, Ayotalla Cockamami, Imanutjob. Why can't they get someone named Earl to run the damn country?

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  3. Earl? You must mean Amir...

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  4. I'm waiting for our Buddhist president to be elected. Think of what we'll save on military commitments.

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  5. Islam is the problem. It would be nice if the US hadn't gotten into Iraq so they could invade the right country (Iran) but what can you do?

    At this point the only way the mullahs will go out of power is if they use their nukes and start another world war. Meanwhile, one of the only secular countries in the mid-east (Iraq) is where the war is being fought.

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  6. Iraq isn't a secular country anymore.

    The elected government is Shiia.

    As the US involvement winds down, there will be some sort of confrontation to one degree or another between Iraqi Shiia (who would like to be kings in their own land) and Iranian Shiia (who have different ideas).

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  7. Yeah the ugly part has yet to even come close to beginning, but it will before Obama is out of office.

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  8. No, Iraq isn't a secular country anymore. If it continues on the path it is on, the US should have invaded Iran. It seems like Iranians are far more open to democracy and secularism.

    As an Iranian (although I was born and raised in the West) I pretty much knew there was no country that could have used a toppling of its gov't than Iran. I tried to get some perspective on it, but I'm almost certain that if Iranians had a choice, there would be flat out secularism is Iran.

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  9. There are four principal spheres of influence in the Middle East.

    Suni/Arab (Centered in Saudi Arabia)
    Shiia/Persian (Centered in Iran)
    Israeli
    Turkish

    The US doesn't seem to understand the balance between the four clearly and as a result we make blunder after blunder.

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  10. "The US doesn't seem to understand the balance between the four clearly and as a result we make blunder after blunder."

    Well said! I might get into trouble over this, but they oughtta just go at it, and we needta stay out of the way, unless the nukes come out.

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  11. I wonder whether Iran would nuke Riyadh first or Tel Aviv?

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