If you look at the past - and it's not pretty - even an optimist would suggest that the scandals will keep on coming. In the quote (note embedded links) below, the USDOJ Inspector General basically said that the accounts of BATFE success were made up.
The agency launched the initiative in 2004 and quickly reported "enormous" success. Agency officials touted a drop in firearm-related homicides in pilot cities and credited the $35 million effort with helping local police departments solve other crimes.
But a U.S. Department of Justice Inspector General's report two years later found no evidence that the teams reduced firearm crimes in the targeted areas. Authors of the report cited "inadequate direction" and "ineffective oversight" by the agency.
"We found that ATF based its analysis on insufficient data and faulty comparisons," the report stated.
Breaking up BATFE causes a problem in the Federal Law Enforcement Community because the pay grades in DOJ are significantly higher for law enforcement officers than they are in other agencies. (Touched on here) BATFE Agents fall under Job Series Classification 1811 (Criminal Investigator; Special Agent) and the journeyman level for a fully qualified BATFE Special Agent is GS-13. It was the same when they were Treasury Agents before the formation of the Department of Homeland Security. Supervisory level personnel were GS-14 and they can also be Assistant Special Agents-in-Charge at that level with the Special Agents-in-Charge at the GS-15 level. Above that, they are entered in the Senior Executive Service and the air is rare there. (more on training here )
Technically you could pink slip all of the federal agents at BATFE and simply send them out to look for work, but that won't happen because there are rules that require the federal government to find a place for them to work. (see paragraph above)
Keeping BATFE is like having a tiger by the tail.
You don't want to hold on and you can't let go.
The list of BATFE genuine success stories is short. Their list of bungled operations is significant if anyone could get the truth out of the Department of Justice. Unfortunately DOJ (and Treasury before them) had no interest in laying out the problems endemic inside BATFE. That's not to say that all BATFE Special Agents are completely incompetent. I put the number of competent to incompetent at somewhere around 50/50 with a handful of extremely good people who work in BATFE special programs under deep cover. I've worked with those people personally and they are as good as they get. They interface regularly with CIA, DEA Special Operations Divison and other intelligence agencies on matters of special national and international interest.
Sadly, the current BATFE fiasco in Milwaukee (Fearless Distributing) is much more the norm than would be expected. If it hadn't been for a business owner who blew the whistle, the mess would have never reached the light.
Operation Fast and Furious caught the interest of the nation because it went to the top of the food chain in the Federal Government and once it hit the National Security Council Staff, President Obama stonewalled it.
The Waco, Texas assault on the Seventh Day Adventist/Branch Davidian compound and the attempted arrest of David Koresh (Vernon Wayne Howell) only came to light because of the spotlight that the media shined on it. Koresh used to go into Waco on a weekly basis by himself. BATFE could have arrested him there without incident, but they chose to assault an armed and fortified church/compound and were shot to pieces.
Whether BATFE is seizing toy guns under the assumption that they're real or any one of a number of unheralded foul-ups, they would seem to be an unlikely custodian for President Obama's new firearms initiative -- but they are. And it may be good news for gun owners.
(ABC News) (February 1, 2013) A former head of the Minneapolis FBI office sent federal lawmakers a letter Thursday sharply criticizing President Barack Obama's nominee to lead the U.S. Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco, Firearms and Explosives, calling B. Todd Jones an ineffective leader who consistently declined to prosecute violent gang, drug and gun crimes.
Donald Oswald, a former special agent in charge in Minneapolis, said in the letter mailed to Senate Judiciary Committee members that he felt morally compelled to share what he called Jones' "atrocious professional reputation" among Minnesota law enforcement. Oswald said he felt he could speak out because he has retired, while active law enforcement authorities might fear retaliation.
"When I learned on TV that Todd Jones had been nominated by the president for ATF director, I reacted physically ill to it and it bothered me for several days until I decided I had to do something, and I had to put this letter forward to reveal exactly what kind of a leader he is," Oswald said in an interview with The Associated Press.
I'd say we're looking at business as usual. A Fix is unlikely even it was possible.