sunset from behind the wire

sunset from behind the wire

Monday, February 29, 2016

Handicapping Super Tuesday

It's always difficult to handicap something on the order of the presidential primary to be held March 1st. But it doesn't mean that I won't do it.

Donald Trump tapped into the anger in America at the establishment politicians. So did Sanders. Trump has a solid shot at winning the Republican Party's nomination. Sanders doesn't. I don't think Clinton does either and she'll be forced out and replaced by Kerry. Back to Trump. He played a much smarter game than his opposition and the mainstream GOP is not at all happy about it. There is talk here and there on the blogs of not supporting the Republican nominee if it's Trump. Not voting in the hopes of throwing an election to the Democrats. That's what they said when Romney was running and he lost the general election, sticking us with Barack for four more years. Trump is loud and he's a bit of a bully but he has connected in a way that nobody else has. Whether he will be nominated or not is still up for grabs, but it's his to lose.

John Kasich is hoping for a vice presidential slot. It could have belonged to Rubio but he was seduced by the mainstream GOP. I don't know what Carson is doing but he'll stay in it for the next couple of weeks if his statements are to be believed.

Marco Rubio, a little man in a big hurry, now has as much money as he can possibly spend to attack Donald Trump. Will his allegations that one of Trump's subcontractors hired Polish workers thirty-five years ago sway voters? It remains to be seen. He shifted from being robotic, repeating his slug lines to leering at Trump and jumping up and down, throwing stuff (largely bullshit) out in the hopes that some of it will stick. Trump counter-punches. At present I predict that Rubio will take Alaska and possibly Utah, (not a Super Tuesday state) where he polls well. This will give Rubio his first and second win and a possible 7 delegates.

Ted Cruz, had an awkward moment on Fox News Sunday today when he wouldn't answer Chris Wallace's questions about his dirty campaigning, and in turn attacked Wallace. Cruz didn't score points there that matter. Cruz is now alleging that Trump is running with the Russian mafia. The only thing that Cruz has not said is that Trump is a space alien...the illegal alien thing wouldn't sound right because of Cruz's status as potentially not being a natural born American (courts need to decide that one). Cruz will win Texas by a decent majority and he'll have his first legitimate win. Iowa was tainted by dirty tricks and who knows how many people that they swayed?

~and the prediction drama continues~

Texas - Cruz+11 (Trump second)

Arkansas - Trump +2 (Cruz second)

Tennessee - Trump +15 (Cruz second)

Georgia - Trump +5 (Rubio/Cruz tie for second)

Virginia - Trump +15 (Rubio second)

Massachusetts - Trump +25 (Kasich second)

Alabama - Trump +8 (Cruz second)

Alaska - Rubio +2 (The boy king is likely to win) (Cruz/Trump tie for second)

Vermont - Trump +18 (Kasich second)

Minnesota - Trump +10 (Kasich second)

Oklahoma - Trump +5 (Cruz second)


A Brief Rant: The American educational system produces a form of  cultural amnesia, a wholesale lack of curiosity, a near complete ignorance of history and historical precedence in the context in which it took place.

The Nation's educational goals are composed of contentless processes and unexamined buzz-words like “critical thinking,” “diversity,” “ways of knowing,” “social justice,” and “cultural competence.” Our students are the achievement of a systemic commitment to producing individuals without a past for whom the future is a foreign country, cultureless ciphers who can live anywhere and perform any kind of work without inquiring about its purposes or ends, perfected tools for an economic system that prizes “flexibility” (geographic, interpersonal, ethical). 

In such a world, one who owns a culture, a history, an inheritance, a commitment to a place and particular people, specific forms of gratitude and indebtedness (rather than a generalized and deracinated commitment to “social justice) is viewed as suspect. Best destroy the cancer that they represent. 

A strong set of ethical and moral norms that assert definite limits to what one ought and ought not to do (aside from being “judgmental”) are hindrances and handicaps in this brave new world, which is why our best and brightest do not run for public office. The narcissists, the power hungry, the Machiavellians, and the fools rise. The society values basketball players, actors and Kardashians. We don't see the Lincolns or the Jeffersons in public office.



10 comments:

  1. I was astounded, years ago, to discover that something called "social studies" is taught in schools here instead of history. I'm still taken aback.

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    1. Back in the stone age when I went to school, we had both history and social studies. Today, they've all but eliminated any meaningful study of history, but there are still social studies.

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  2. I handed in my homework chiseled on the same stone slates that LL handed in. In the mid-1960's, that's when 'social studies' replaced history. And from that point on, things went whacko pretty quickly. At this point in time, when almost every university in the U.S. offers bachelor's, masters and doctoral degrees in 'Women's Studies,' we have a bonafide problem on our hands.

    Just FYI, no for-profit business with any kind of feduciary responsibility to its shareholders would hire a 'Women's Studies' graduate; they are simply walking, talking sexual harrassment lawsuits looking for a place to file.

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    1. I noticed that you didn't mention the valued "Oppression Studies" degree, offered by some universities these days, or any of the ethnic studies degrees. If you want somebody who can perform for your company, they're right up there with Womyn's Studies and a Mythology minor.

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    2. Speaking of Oppression Studies, we had to learn Greek and Latin while training to run an Empire that had disappeared. I recall a boy being asked why Dominos was in the plural. "Because it's got an 's' on the end, sir." He was soundly beaten and went on to become a "social worker."

      This proves the point, those who are ignorant of the past are more than likely to turn out completely useless.

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    3. America has been working diligently to turn out social workers instead of scientists and businessmen.

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    4. Pastor: ah, those were the good ol' days, when students were beaten soundly for their insolence. We would be well served to return to corporal punishment to deal with ignorance. Works every time it's tried. You'd be surprised at how smart kids get when they are faced with pain.

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    5. I used to get hit with a ruler and a yardstick all the time. It moderated my behavior. I guess that's considered cruel now.

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  3. Is there a sweepstake on this?

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    1. I'm going to release the yellow plastic ducks into the Santa Ana River soon. But you can't play unless you're 6,000 miles closer than you are now. And I think that you'll need sunscreen.

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