sunset from behind the wire

sunset from behind the wire

Wednesday, May 4, 2016

Casting Chicken Bones

Primary Recap

Trump read the mood of the nation correctly and Cruz did not. There were cracks in the Cruz game plan very early when Trump won among evangelicals in the South. Today, Republicans are more fiscally focused and less socially conservative, and it shows up at the polls. 

The rich pundit class were ALL wrong. Cruz was wrong. The person who was right will end up winning the Republican nomination. And maybe George Will shall move to Canada or Mexico after he campaigns for Crooked Hillary or post-indictment, for her replacement - and that person loses too.

Cruz gave a gracious concession speech and he's now in the negotiation for a chair at the table until the music stops. He will play ball now because he's a political creature. Kasich vowed to fight to the end even though nobody cares. There comes a time when pugnacious clinging to a failed campaign becomes silly. That time has arrived for John Kasich.

Bernie is hanging on in the hopes of Hillary's indictment, and I still think that's going to happen sooner than later - any day now. There were a lot of people feeling the Bern in Indiana and they pushed him over the top, revealing how very weak Hillary Clinton is as a candidate.

At least that's how I see it.

The Trump Campaign will be all about the wide variety of strong and conservative Republicans and others outside government who will show the plurality of support for the nominee. The Democrat's Convention in Philadelphia will be a goat rope with somebody trying to run on (indicted) Hillary's delegates and Bernie going insane over it.

We live in interesting times.

Anti Chinese Alliance


Under a deal first announced in March by Philippine President Benigno Aquino, Japan will lease up to five TC-90s and help the Philippines train pilots and aircraft mechanics. President Aquino said the planes would be used to patrol the South China Sea.

Yesterday, Japanese Defense Minister Gen Nakatani "reaffirmed the transfer" of TC-90 surveillance planes in a telephone exchange with Philippine National Defense Secretary Voltaire Gazmin, according to a statement released by the Philippine National Defense Department.

This will be Japan's first lease of its Self-Defense Forces' aircraft to another state after Japan recently lifted a self-imposed ban on arms exports. 

The TC-90 is the Japanese Maritime Self-Defense Force’s (MSDF) designation of the Beechcraft King Air, which the MSDF modifies and uses for training. With a range of some 1,180 miles, the TC-90s will double the area that the Philippines can patrol. The aircraft will improve the ability of the Philippines to track Chinese activity at Scarborough Shoal, which China announced it intends to develop this year.

This will be the fourth instance of Japanese cooperation with the Philippines this year. In March and April two MSDF ships and a submarine called at Philippine ports. Japan’s new national security legislation permits this cooperation under its interpretation of “collective self-defense.”

Chinese assertions of sovereignty are creating alliances between former enemies. The Japanese are improving their relations with Russia and with South Korea, somewhat. The Vietnamese want the US to sell them weapons to help them defend their claims from the Chinese. Vietnam wants the US to put some skin in the game and they are willing to pay for it.

Export Frigate

German Sachsen Class Frigate, Hamburg
A newly anointed President Trump should consider contracting with the Philippines, Indonesia, Taiwan, Vietnam, Malaysia and others who wish to stand against China but don't have the budget for large ticket items. The development of a US-made frigate designed to serve patrol and self-defense needs would be good for US shipyards and would be good for the countries who are threatened by China. My sense is it should be about the size of the old (now completely decommissioned) Oliver Hazard Perry Class, with more capable guns and anti-air. The old FFG-7 Class (Fig7) was an anti-submarine warfare vessel. (something larger than the Swedish Visy-Class corvette, and on the order of the German Sachsen Class frigate). The "export frigate" would be a balanced package. The French, Germans, Swedes and others sell export frigates, but there might be a market for an American product simply because it forms a partnership with the US.

Modular weapons systems similar to those used on the Littoral Combat Ship - but a much larger and more capable ship than the expensive and largely ineffective (my judgment on the matter) LCS would be in order. Modularity would allow for flexibility for the export market while preserving the platform for the US Navy or US Coast Guard - with potentially different weapons and sensor packages.

How many jobs would 10-12 of this class of export ship create? How irritated would China be?


18 comments:

  1. Your chicken bones have been correctly read. You might want to substantiate your findings and double check by reading some goat entrails. I'm sure LSP can locate you some, he has some in roads with the C of E, where I hear they go through goats like tissue paper. A little inside baseball here for some of you, I'm sure.

    I'm pretty sure we will have yet another election year issue with those idiot purists, the "Never __________" crowd sitting out the election. Fill in the name of the impure GOP candidate, it's been going on awhile now, starting with Romney.

    Unlike Romney, however, Trump may attract quite a few displaced coal miners, factory workers, and others who have fallen on hard times owing to Democrat economic policies that hammer the working man.

    What do your goat entrails have to say about Trump's winning constituency, LL? Who needs George Will, Charles Krauthammer and their ilk?

    Note: when you have 'ilk,' it's not good.

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    1. I don't think that there are many people who are more "Constitutionalist" than I am, however the people pushing for purity in the GOP need to grasp that (as you suggest) it is the very populism of Trump, who calls out the elites who have messed things up that will get him elected, and will make him a good president.

      George W. Bush was not a conservative. He was a big government guy. He was not a 10th Amendment type. I liked him then and like him now but he's easy to pick apart. Most of the Republicans in Congress wouldn't know the Constitution if it bit them.

      Fixing the country is not a return to "old timee religion" and "tent preachers". It is a realization that (a) it's about the economy, and (b) the world has used us as their 'bitch' for a very long time now.

      Hillary couldn't even win Indiana over a 74 year old curmudgeonly communist -- at this stage in her campaign. The FBI hasn't done the fandango on her yet, and Trump will draw heavily from Democrats who want to MAKE AMERICA GREAT AGAIN. Inner city people and Hispanics want jobs and they want to see a vibrant economy. Cruz wouldn't have delivered that. Trump has a shot at it. And people understand that.

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    2. I'll see if I can rustle up some goats. They're popular in Hill County, unlike Hillary, who isn't.

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    3. How do you tell the difference between Hillary and an old goat? Maybe it's the pantsuit?

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    4. She's a big old goat, that's for sure.

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  2. You should use tea leaves. Proper tea. Not iced.

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    1. I don't think that we have that in America anymore. Tea is that instant kind of powder with genuine simulated tea flavor. I think it's made from tofu. You can't predict anything from pouring the powder on something, except that you know that once you pour, there will be powder on something.

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  3. Dusting off your crystal ball again?

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    1. Adrienne already won a surf and turf dinner from me so my predictions aren't strident, but I think that I understand that enough Americans are fed up that enough will vote for Trump. Then the weight of the world will be on his shoulders.

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  4. Good job on the chickn bones! Now if you could make me wise, rich and handsome....One of Trump's strengths is that he isn't afraid of the sjw/PC crowd. He has tapped into the anger caused by the repeated betrayal by those we elected to represent us. Hopefully he will be able to get some of his agenda through. The Chinese are already concerned because they view him as not being the pussy in chief.

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    1. I just got off the phone with friends in MEXGOV who are shocked that Trump won and they believe that Clinton will go down in flames before him. If she couldn't win Indiana against an old communist who is running on a platform of hand-outs, she won't beat Trump -- or so the logic goes.

      The Mexicans, the Chinese and the rest of the world are concerned because there will be a tectonic change in America.

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  5. Trump is the presumptive candidate. He hasn't nailed it down. That said, I'm enjoying all the elites choking on their single malts.

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    1. No, it's not nailed down, but Kasich is going to bow out tonight, leaving Trump the only Republican candidate. California and New Jersey would have gone for Trump in any event and pushed him over the top. Cruz figured that out. I think that people have called Kasich and suggested that he go on meds, because he was delusional. I know that he wanted to be president, but no.

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  6. Looks like China's not too pleased at the prospect of a Trumpian victory.

    Maybe there's something seismic in the air.

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  7. Agree on the Perry Class with one mod, STEEL upper decks.

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    1. I think that whatever we do has to be a severely improved Perry Class (twin screw, vertical launch, etc.)

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  8. I can only hope that Killary will be indicted before the election.

    I pray that Trump will develop some common sense and listen to others and not just his ego if he is our next president. Now that Cruz conceded, I will hold my nose and vote for Trump. I just hope he is not playing us all for fools.

    Be safe and God bless.

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