sunset from behind the wire

sunset from behind the wire

Saturday, March 5, 2016

Applecart

We've seen something remarkable in America during this election cycle.

REPUBLICANS

NONE of the candidates who are leading the pack come from the "anointed class". Cruz is hated just as much as Trump is inside the Beltway. The only reason that the likes of Mitt Romney are going after Trump is because he's leading. If Cruz was in the lead, they'd have gone after him. Once Jeb! fell (despite inexhaustible funds), common wisdom held that Rubio (a tea party candidate), a first term senator, like Cruz, could be their option. But he only won Minnesota...and is not projected to win anywhere else except Utah.

The mainstream have dusted off Mitt Romney, who they really didn't like, but would have "played ball" to be the choice in a brokered convention. Romney is now on the attack and will make the circuit at the Sunday Morning talk shows in a concerted effort to stop Donald Trump, who is unlikely to "play ball" with them, and may break the gravy train that they're feeding from.

Cruz Responds
(Cruz at CPAC - The Hill) "Any time you hear someone talking about a brokered convention, it is the Washington establishment in a fevered frenzy, they are really frustrated because all their chosen candidates, their golden children, the voters keep rejecting," Cruz said Friday at the Conservative Political Action Conference (CPAC). "So they seize on this plan of a brokered convention, and the D.C. power brokers will drop someone in who is exactly to the liking of the Washington establishment. If that would happen, we would have a manifest revolt on our hands all across this country." In Cruz's mind, there's one way to beat Donald Trump: "with the voters."
DEMOCRATS

Every Washington lawyer with criminal prosecution experience knows that once a grand jury is convened, that the government is giving people immunity in exchange for testimony, the result is likely indictment.  The DNC pays $1,000 an hour for their legal advice and they have good advice. And the advice is telling them that despite their glee at voter revolts on the Republican side, they have an even larger problem on their hands. Hillary Clinton, who swept away most of her competition for the presidency on the Democratic Party side with typical Clintonian Machivelianism (except for Sanders, the old communist), is now faced with the real possibility of being held to account for the first time in her life. 

Without Clinton, ascending to the throne, the Democrats will be forced to change their Byzantine rules once again and allow her to hand off her delegates to somebody else, because there at DNC, it's "anybody but Bernie". John Kerry is in the bullpen warming up to take over (much in Mitt Romney's style) and 'save the party'.

Except Kerry is even less exciting than Clinton. And the only person who can draw a crowd (Sanders) is the guy who they want to co-opt at the Convention.

CHICKENS COME HOME TO ROOST

Lincoln said, "You can fool some of the people some of the time, and you can fool all of the people some of the time. But you can't fool all of the people, all of the time." And the elite political class -- there is really only one, you know (not Dems and Reps), is about to have their applecart tipped.