sunset from behind the wire

sunset from behind the wire

Thursday, October 20, 2016

A New War?


Vladimir Putin explains the situation in Syria and Iraq from his perspective. Take Seven minutes out of your life and make of it as you will.


I'm not advocating for one position or the other, but what Putin says (above) is accurate as far as I can tell. 

US bungling in the Middle East has been legendary. And it will get worse with a Clinton presidency when you consider that she steered the nation in the direction we're in now.

John Kerry, US Secretary of State said that, "Russia is trying to play a weak hand in Syria - trying to be more than the regional power they are."

So...

Russia mobilized the Northern and Baltic Fleets, sending key assets to the Mediterranean Sea off Syria, thumbing its nose at the British as it passes.
(Bloomberg) After a strike by the U.S.-led coalition on a Syrian army base last month that the Pentagon said was a mistake killed dozens of soldiers, Russia’s Defense Ministry said it won’t allow a repetition. Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov in an interview with state-run Channel One broadcast Sunday said Russian defenses can protect the Syrian army from any U.S. attack and warned the American military to desist from “dangerous games.” - There's more at that link.
The US will provoke a war - at least a limited war - in my estimation, if only to stop the scandals that are boiling around Clinton. They need a break from WikiLeaks and Veritas showing what craven scum that they are and a war, even a fake war (See Gulf of Tonkin Resolution), will send the press scurrying in another direction.
Questions about the Gulf of Tonkin incidents have persisted for more than 40 years. But once-classified documents and tapes released in the past several years, combined with previously uncovered facts, make clear that high government officials distorted facts and deceived the American public about events that led to full U.S. involvement in the Vietnam War. (US Naval Institute)
282,000 American and allied soldiers died in Vietnam). Another half million Vietnamese died. 

If you think that Hillary Clinton will blink twice at three quarters of a million dead to divert attention from her vast felonious conduct - you don't know Hillary. War is often a racket... I think that the Russians, no strangers to war, are concerned about that.

Some would say that George W. Bush provoked a war in Iraq to find weapons of mass destruction when there was NO EVIDENCE that they existed, far more recently in our history. I was in a position to know back in 2002-3 and based on what I saw, no evidence existed beyond some manufactured bullshit. And think of the blood and treasure that followed that adventure, and became ISIS, and the conflict in Syria that we're chatting about today.

Wag the Dog Scenario:

Russian Redeployment

The Royal Navy shadowed the Russian aircraft carrier/aircraft-carrying cruiser Admiral Kuznetsov and its escorts as they approached the United Kingdom on the 19th. The escorts include the nuclear-powered battle cruiser Pytor Veliky (Peter the Great), two destroyers and four support ships.

Concerns over Britain's ability to monitor the vessels has been heightened as the UK no longer has its own surveillance planes due to funding cut-backs. Norwegian and US maritime patrol aircraft filled in the gaps.

The Russians are deploying their Northern Fleet and much of the Baltic Fleet to the waters off Syria in the largest surface deployment since the end of the Cold War. This is not a friendly port call. In two weeks we will see a crescendo of air attacks on Aleppo as part of Russia’s strategy to declare victory there.”


Barack dissolved the US Sixth Fleet, so there hasn't been an American fleet in the Mediterranean since that happened. Some US ships have been assigned to patrol that region but it has not been anything on the order of a fleet.  The Russians have stepped into that void.

The Russian naval task group, especially the aircraft carrier Admiral Kuznetsov, is expected to participate in the operations against the rebels in eastern Aleppo. It should arrive within the week. In August, Russian Defense Minister General Shoigu said the Admiral Kuznetsov is scheduled to support Syrian operations until January 2017.

Russia already has ten ships supporting operations in Syria. The Admiral Kuznetsov and its escorts will add to that number.

Humanitarian pause extended. On 19 October, Deputy Chief of the General Staff General Rudskoi said, “Tomorrow, on 20 October, a humanitarian pause will be implemented in Aleppo from 0800 to provide free passage to civilians, for the evacuation of the sick and wounded and the withdrawal of militants from the eastern districts of the city.” This proposal is intended to justify in advance the destruction that is likely to follow after the ceasefire ends and the putative “final offensive” starts. 

General Valery Gerasimov, Chief of the Russian Armed Forces General Staff, expressed concern that militants from the Islamic State could escape from Mosul in Iraq to Syria. It's something that Donald Trump mentioned in the debate last night, that Hillary shucked off as preposterous. The Russians aren't wrong and neither was Trump, but the Obama Regime has so mismanaged the situation(s) in the Middle East (along with everywhere else) that they're left looking foolish (as usual).
"Our attention is primarily on the militants' possible attempts to break out of Mosul, or leave the city unimpeded, by agreement, in the direction of Syria," Gerasimov said according to Interfax. 
"We hope that our partners from the international coalition realize what the effect would be of large ISIL gangs roaming free in the Middle East region. It is therefore necessary to destroy terrorists on the spot, not push them around from one country into another." 
Gerasimov’s comments about Mosul are a legitimate concern. They also seem pertinent to Russian intentions for operations against the rebels in eastern Aleppo.

If you were to ask where the United States is in all this, really all I can do is shrug my shoulders. At this point, the US doesn't have a significant horse in the race. It's a Russian and Turkish game with Barack and friends sitting on the sidelines puffing and blowing.

America and Another Red Line?

Given the nature of the rigged presidential election back home in the US, the lack of capacity in the Mediterranean, etc., the US has apparently threatened Russia with nuclear weapons either tacitly or openly. The Russians responded by alerting its public to be ready for a nuclear war with the US - as it moves forward.  The US dismissed the Russian response as 'mere theater', but that's not how I see it. The Russians have shown that they are ready to go for broke and they dismiss American threats as just another red line that the foolish and corrupt Barack is drawing.

Isn't it interesting that the Democrats (and their media shills) are accusing Trump of potential irresponsibility with the use of nuclear weapons when they themselves are (likely - I have no proof at this point) rattling nuclear sabers at the Russians?

An America in decline, the Brits (an island nation) without maritime aircraft, and on and on speaks to a changing world. But don't worry - there are still free Obamaphones, welfare and medical benefits for illegal aliens - who are allowed to vote in American elections...


The Gold Standard?

I want to posit a serious question to all of you who read this blog:

Given the myriad scandals involving the selection of candidates including "super delegates" and back room state nominations (as opposed to a public vote) for a candidate - moving on to the tens of thousands of e-mails that came forward through WikiLeaks and culminating with the veritas videos - Is corruption so endemic and so accepted that we can no longer go through a fair nominating process in America for each of the major parties and an honest election for president?
  • Congress is unable to pass a law requiring registered voters to present government ID to vote. It's insane but it's true.
  • The New York Election Commissioner (a Democrat) speaks openly of people bussed from polling place to polling place where they vote over and over.
  • In much of Philadelphia and Baltimore, not a single vote was cast for a Republican candidate. How is that statistically possible?
  • The DNC/Clinton Campaign engaged in now documented harassment and organized riots to disrupt the Republicans and the nation and Congress do nothing to censure them. 
I had lunch with a long time friend today. Former investigator for the US Senate, worked in key roles at CIA and Treasury, also a friend of blogger WoFat. The discussion turned serious when he said that the system was so broken - so fractured - so corrupt and was so accepting of corruption as a normal political practice, that the foundation of the Republic was gone. The remaining veneer is so thin and transparent and the Potemkin Village is evident to all but the most deluded and ignorant souls.  Connivance gave Hillary Clinton the Dem nomination over Bernie Sanders, and it has served her in the general election as well. Felonies were excused by the Obama Administration and corrupt DOJ officials to allow Clinton to continue in her race for the White House.

What sort of credibility will the next president have, no matter who wins. And what of 2020? What will that and future elections look like? Is the 2016 election cycle to be the gold standard going forward?

The Debate: Given what we know of Hillary's past, is A SINGLE WORD that she says, "credible"? The answer is that nobody knows because she is a pathological liar. The evidence of that is overwhelming and incontrovertible. Should she be allowed to debate, given that situation? I guess so, but there should be a disclaimer at the beginning and at the end. Having said that, this third debate was Trump's strongest showing so far. The Democrats were upset that Trump said that he may not abide by the results of the election because he believes that it is being rigged through felonious means -- and there's video proof of that.

The Hollowing of America: The military needs a jumpstart, the economy does not grow (see gun decking, below) even though Barack and Hillary would have you believe that it is. We have exported good manufacturing jobs and Obamacare has driven up the cost of healthcare to an obscene level. If I sound as if I'm echoing Trump, I'm not. The globalists have done this and we are paying the butcher's bill on it. The British saw their world being hollowed out and voted for BREXIT, in the hope of regaining national sovereignty and say in their own future. America is in a different place but the issues are remarkably similar. 

Conspiracy Theory: Who pulls Barack's strings? (don't even bother to suggest that Barack is his own man) Who pulls Hillary's strings? (again, it's not Hillary). The best answer that I can give is that I'm not sure. Soros, and others clearly have serious influence, but there are others. 

Trump is the fly in the ointment (they wanted it to be Jeb! - stupid, compliant and complicit), and he's not reading from the same script that the career politicians read from. 

Gundecking: Old NFO will know what I mean when I say that the way the nation collects statistics is best defined as "Gundecking". It's a Navy term.
Gundecking Defined: to fake or falsify especially by writing up (as a series of official reports) as if meeting requirements but actually without having carried out the required procedures
We see statistics bent to the point of unbelievability in areas such as what counts as "unemployed" and "full employment". A little honesty would be refreshing. The same thing is true with how the Obama regime counts "deportations". When every measurement is twisted either by lawyers concocting 'definitions' or by outright deceit, the way we look at success and failure is also skewed. There is an old axiom: Figures lie and liars figure. That's not new to the ObamaNation, but they have taken it to a whole new level where credibility is even strained at time to the news media, who is firmly in their pocket and under control.

It all speaks to credibility.

Back to that first question that I asked you, Is corruption so endemic and so accepted that we can no longer go through a fair nominating process in America for each of the major parties and an honest election for president?

Personal Note: I absentee voted for Trump/Pence yesterday.