sunset from behind the wire

sunset from behind the wire

Wednesday, January 17, 2018

Observations

Chelsea

If Maryland Democrats don't support the convicted national security felon and traitor, they're transphobic. How could a Democrat in all conscience vote to return Senator Ben Cardin (D-MD) (an older white male) to the US Senate when they have a (technically white male - but) tranny option?

Who says that politics isn't fun?

Is there anyone on the planet who thinks that Barack Obama would have pardoned Bradley Manning if he wasn't a tranny? He'd be turning big rocks into little rocks at Leavenworth.

Naturally, Chelsea would be even more politically correct if he/it/she self-identified as a negro. I'm sure that's coming.

Another Dose of Afrin?

News services reported on 16 January the movement of Turkish commando units to the Syrian border. Other military units moving to the border include a convoy of at least 40 armored vehicles and additional troops.

The BBC judged that the movements are related to reports that an operation into Kurdish-held Afrin is "imminent". "Armored vehicles and commandos which were initially brought to Reyhanli and Hassa districts were then forwarded to the military units on the border," NTV website said.

Hurriyet posted to its web site 21 images which showed military equipment, including tanks, and buses carrying soldiers to the region.

Military vehicles, including tanks and armed vehicles, were loaded on trucks and transferred to the border province of Hatay from the southeastern province of Sirnak, Hurriyet reported on 16 January.

"Hawk missiles stationed in the Kirikhan district of Hatay, near the border, were also directed towards Afrin, the newspaper had said.

President Erdogan has threatened the Afrin offensive so often it would be easy to dismiss his latest threat as more rhetorical posturing. Three events that were reported in the past 24 hours indicate attack preparations are in progress. 

The first is the continuing reinforcement of the border the day after President Erdogan stated his latest threat. This is not necessarily diagnostic of Turkey’s specific intentions, but the buildup confirms Turkey’s general intentions and is necessary for an attack.

The more diagnostic indicator is the movement of troops from Sirnak to Hatay. This is a high cost, in-theater redeployment from the Iraqi border, almost the length of the Turkish border, to Hatay, which is on the Mediterranean Sea coast. It is not a routine move because forces experienced in fighting the Islamic State and the Turkish Kurds (PKK) are being shifted to a new operating area.

Finally, the statement that Hawk air defense missiles have been reoriented towards Afrin could be highly diagnostic, assuming it means that a part of the integrated air defense system has been refocused. The Hawks were oriented to defend against Russian aircraft. 

The Kurds in Afrin are on their own. Two separate US military spokespersons told the press on 16 January that the US mandate to defeat the Islamic State does not extend to assisting the Syrian Kurds in Afrin Canton. 

Press sources estimated that the Canton contains between 8,000 and 10,000 members of the Peoples’ Protection Units (YPG). The size of the Turkish and Turkish-backed proxy forces is not known

The two American disavowals look and sound like official US green lights for Turkey to do what it wants against Afrin. The timing of the announcements in the context of Turkey’s threats and force buildup support the inference that the Turkish government has decided to attack Afrin Canton soon. The Turks have reassurance that the US will not stand in the way. 

Turkish uncertainty about the US reaction to a Turkish-directed operation against Afrin has been a significant deterrent. It explains President Erdogan’s many threats as probes to clarify US intentions. He now knows them.

A small Russian force went to Afrin last summer to deter Turkey from conducting offensive operations. We have received no update on the status of that monitoring unit. Russia has made no comments on Erdogan’s threats. We judge the Turks would not continue openly redeploying forces if the leadership lacked Russian assurances of non-intervention.


10 comments:

  1. The endurance and resiliency of the Kurds is astounding.

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    Replies
    1. The Turks have been trying to wipe them from the gene pool in the same way that they tried with the Armenians. It's the one thing that the Turks are famous for failing to do. But they'll have another go at it. This time, I'm reliably informed that the Kurds have some really effective anti-tank missiles. Somebody, pop the popcorn.

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  2. Two things.

    That the demleft is mainstreaming bizarre degenerates like "Chelsea" speaks well for a 2020 win.

    Secondly, looks like the Kurds have been left out to dry and be killed.

    I think both of these things are wrong. On second thoughts, carry on, demleft, keep doubling down on weird.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. (1) Sexual freak Chelsea should become the spokesperson for the DNC. If she's not given that opportunity, the Dems are transphobic.

      (2) If Chelsea Clinton became a male, it would bring balance to the force and they could share the DNC spokesperson job.

      (3) The Kurds may not need our help.

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  3. I am disappointed that we will not support the Kurds.

    As for the first, disgusting is the only way I can put it.

    Thanks for the update!

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    Replies
    1. Again, consider that perhaps the Kurds are well supplied and ready for the Turks and don't need our help at THIS point.

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    2. I was going to say what everyone says about supporting the Kurds, but I'm encouraged by your optimism.

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    3. There are a lot of down-sides in a US vs Turkey confrontation on Syrian soil over the health and welfare of the Western Syrian Kurds (a different grouping than the Eastern Syrian Kurds, or the Iraqi Kurds, etc.). Arming the Kurds with the means to defend themselves allows them to emerge from the confrontation with a lot more stroke where their future political stake in Syria is involved.

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  4. LL
    Don't know about you, but I've never known an ugly girl who chose to be an ugly girl
    just a thought

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    Replies
    1. True of the tranny class, though.

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