sunset from behind the wire

sunset from behind the wire

Thursday, April 12, 2018

Making Sense of It All? (no not really)

The End is Near

(link) Prepare, by doing whatever you'd do to prepare for THE END. I hate to mock these folks, but there's always somebody with a new idea based on some weird abstraction. The Jesus-face on a tortilla that the Mexicans worship EVERY SINGLE EASTER is far more compelling on the compelling scale - mainly because you can fold some queso and fresh, hot, crispy, carnitas into the tortilla along with some chopped onion and cilantro and have a burrito. 
(Or you can go to Karen's at Itasca, TX where you'll get a delicious burrito without the Jesus face burned onto it).
And since Pope Francis has assured the world that there is no Satan and no Hell, will that make you feel better about seeing all this go up in smoke?  

WWIII

The only thing that the Democrats want now that Russia is no longer a communist state and is a Christian nation, is that it be destroyed. What a reversal from my youth when they loved the place back in the old USSR days.

Premise 1: NOTHING in Syria is worth a pile of dog crap.

Premise 2: We should let the Russians have Syria, who cares? Sure, Iran will move in and throw the al Qaeda people out but we have no friends in Syria (see #1 above).

Let's run this down:

On 11 April, First Deputy Chief of the Russian General Staff’s Main Operations Department Lieutenant General Viktor Poznikhir said that the supposed 7 April chemical attack in the Douma district had been staged and filmed by the Western-backed White Helmets organization.
“On April 7, probably the last attempt to stage a chemical weapons attack in Eastern Ghouta was made. The notorious White Helmets, who operate as part of the terrorist groups, staged and filmed a chemical weapons attack on civilians in the town of Duma.” 
General Poznikhir added that the White Helmets had made several failed attempts to stage chemical attacks during the recent battle in the Eastern Ghouta region. 

A World Health Organization official repeated the allegation that 500 Syrians in Douma had been treated for symptoms of exposure to chemicals. Russian General Poznikhir told reporters Russian military officials had contacted Syrian Red Crescent officials and the staff of the local office of the UN coordinator in Syria, who are part of the humanitarian operation in Eastern Ghouta on site, to identify the location of those reportedly affected by the gas attack. "None of them has any confirmation of what the World Health Organization official said."

He also disclosed that the Syrian Arab Army (SAA) had discovered toxic agents in an underground workshop of the militants during its operations in Eastern Ghouta. “On 3 March, the militants’ workshop was found in an underground tunnel in Hazrama. Makeshift ammunition pieces were charged with poisonous agents there.”

Anticipating a US, French and UK attack. Russian naval forces have departed Tartus for a live fire exercise off Cyprus. The live fire training was scheduled for 11 and 12 April. A notice to airman has been issued.

In Syria, the Syrian air force also has dispersed its aircraft. 

The Russian ambassador to Lebanon issued the threat that the Russians would intercept US missiles and target their launchers. Other than the ambassador’s statement, Russian officials have stopped talking to the media about the Russian response to an attack. Ambassador Zasypkin in Beirut said a clash should be ruled out.

Western media commentary is nearly hysterical about the prospects for a clash between US and Russian forces. Some pundits are warning of a Third World War when they're not talking about Stormy Daniels. 

I judge the Russians will understand the US President’s tweets as warnings to the Russians to protect their people and assets in order to avoid casualties and damage from a US attack.

Should the US attack Syria? It's a waste of money and there's no definitive proof of a gas attack assuming that Assad would be dumb enough to do that on the eve of a US departure from the area.


22 comments:

  1. Theresa May of the UK even questioned the source of the gas attack.

    Syria is already partitioned. We should finish ISIS off, cut a deal with the rest of the powers involved, set up the Kurds in an independent state, maybe with an airbase for us there, and be done with it. That could block the Iranians, Keep Assad in power in a weak rump state, please the Russians, and minimize our exposure.

    The Kurds could finance their state with oil from those fields the Russian mercenaries tried to nab. At least the Kurds would be semi dependable friends, unlike the rest of the slime living in that part of the world.

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    1. The Kurds (there are several factions) have been allies and we need to help them, but they are INLAND and without an outlet to the sea, with enemies all around them it's difficult to support and sustain them for any period of time. They need to make friends, but they don't have any, and haven't had any (ever). Syria will use its military to eventually take back the oil producing area and LONG TERM, I think that it's a waste of time to remain in that part of the world.

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    2. I suppose we would need to be there indefinitely to guarantee their survival, but that likely wouldn't be possible given the political whipsaws we have here in our government. The first Prog elected after Trump would sell them down the river like Obama sold the Iraqis.

      On the other hand, we've been in Japan, Europe and Korea since the last wars ended there, and been relatively reliable partners.

      I guess it's the old conflict between relative isolationism and being the world's hegemon (which we've been to one extent or another since the end of WWII).

      We tried isolationism, and the world's conflicts sucked us back in. I suppose it's safer to be a benign Worldcop.

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    3. The Japanese had an integral territory as did the Germans or even the Iraqis. The Kurds are spread throughout the Middle East in Iran, Turkey, Syria, Iraq and there are even a few in Russia and the former Soviet Republics. Each Kurdish group is separate. They are NOT united. Nobody wants to secede territory to a Kurdish homeland, and I think that we need to accept that. We could have partitioned Iraq after the war and I encouraged it at the time but we didn't do it. It's too late now without busting a lot of stuff up.

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  2. The anti-Assad forces have more reason to use chemical weapons than Assad does. We're saying we're getting out, perhaps if they make it look like Assad did an attack we'll stay and help them.

    I'm not much on conspiracy theories and while I acknowledge false flag operations happen, I find it hard to believe that everything that happens in the world is one (no matter what happens, anywhere, you'll find someone saying it was a FF operation, or else it was the jooos). That said, this sure looks like a FF. Something ain't right.

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    1. Something was rotten in Denmark for Hamlet - and it's rotten in Syria for us.

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  3. Totally agree with premise #1 & #2.

    And I have to admit, Karen's is pretty tasty!

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    1. I understand the Iranian/Qatari gas pipeline that will pass through Syria is a strategic move that involves Russian interests to lock up control of gas supplies from the Middle East to Europe.

      I also understand that the Saudis/al Qaeda doesn't want to see that happen and we've made common cause with them.

      Israel doesn't want to see Iran swallow Syria and neither does Saudi Arabia. But none of THEM want to put military skin in the game the way the US can.

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    2. Good point viz. Israel/Saudi/Iran.

      And maybe it's just me but there seems to be something gut-level repellent in the thought of America acting as Al Qaeda's airforce, or any other kind of force.

      The mainstream media doesn't talk about that, curiously.

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    3. CNN only talks about Stormy Daniels and impeaching the President.

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  4. Arguments aside, why do we protect the major poppy growers and their opium output? Kurds and various Afghans.

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    1. The US has a long history of protecting opium production. In the case of the Kurds and Afghans, most of the dope ends up in China and Russia... I can lend my own experience to what used to be called, "The Afghan Transit Trade" - opium smuggling. A very very small amount of that refined narcotic ended up in the USA.

      Even Indochinese opium has a small footprint in the US today. Most of the heroin and other opiate derivatives today come from Honduras and Guatemala (and to a lesser extent Mexico), smuggled by Mexican drug cartels and sold at a low price to the domestic US market.

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  5. I would respectfully suggest you are missing the big picture. Here is a tl;dr version. It's much more complicated than my writing here.

    The West (mostly Europe) needs Syria to tap into the Caspian Sea Natural Gas deposits. Without Syria, the gas lines would have to run through either Russia or Iran.

    Europe is at the mercy of Russia for most all or Europe's energy needs. Like, 95% of Gas and Oil. Russia can and has halted or slowed energy supplies on any whim it can come up with.

    Turkey cozying up with Russia has the West worried as the pipeline would need to go through Turkey or beyond Turkey's int'l borders if by sea which is 12 miles out and Erdogun is a defacto Dictator who flouts int'l law repeatedly.

    This is Europe's (and Israel's) war. The Deep State extends worldwide and Russia ain't part of it. Can the globalists suck America into their war?

    I dunno.

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    1. My comments to LSP address the pipeline matter. I think that the pipeline in question through Syria is one that is sponsored by Iran and Qatar. Russia is a military guarantor of that pipeline. Development of Caspian Sea petroleum will run through Turkey to Europe, potentially. Romania is in the NATO camp solidly and we have a large air force base there now.

      Europe won't do anything and I don't see spending American treasure or lives to solve problems that they are unwilling to deal with.

      The broader issues with Saudi Arabia are another matter and at some point we need to decide what we will do there. President Obama chose Iran, President Trump chose Saudi Arabia. Picking a side makes sense, but we can (endlessly) debate the extent we should support the Saudis.

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  6. My Father used to say that the world ends when you die. Until that day comes for me, I will continue to work out, because zombies hate fast food ;)

    Don't get me started on that commie Pope. He has one job, to head the Catholic church, yet most of the time he sounds like Che Guevara.

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    1. I think that he would have joined Castro if he'd been in a position to do so. Maybe one of the big regrets he has.

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  7. Time to dump it, and them on Europe/Saudi/Israel. We don't need to be there...

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  8. Hasn't America always had an advertised purpose for sending her young men into battle on foreign soil? Haven't we always been the big kid on the playground who is willing to restrain the bully for the sake of innocent victims? Haven't we always stepped-in when psycho Dictators begin to gas the children? All those crosses at Arlington pay tribute to men who wanted to help others. Are we not still a nation of good people willing to use our strength to thwart evil when it approaches totality? The Revolution; 1812; the Mexican War; the Spanish-American war; WW I; WW II; Korea; Vietnam; the Middle East; etc. all had innocent victims who had no hope other than American intervention.Today Israel needs our help, Syria needs someone to deliver the children from the sadistic whims of a maniac. Sure, politicians and special interests dilute the nobility of every military action, but it is none-the-less a just cause to help the helpless. Stay in Syria until the gassers are gone and the future secured.

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    1. We entered Syria without permission with the stated purpose of defeating ISIS, and the mopping up is almost all done. Turkey invaded Syria while we're there, should we attack them because they did so and don't plan to leave? There is no way to know who gassed the people, chlorine gas is something that I could make in the garage in weaponized form. The place is a mess. I respectfully disagree that we need to keep the army there forever.

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    2. We entered Normandy without Hitler's permission. Regarding the length of stay in Syria. . . when the gassers, whoever they are, are stopped then get the boots off the Syrian soil (sand). We should always deal swiftly with gassers. There is no political component in chlorine gas.

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It's virtual - it's a mirage - it's life