sunset from behind the wire

sunset from behind the wire

Thursday, May 10, 2018

Israel v Iran Update

Yesterday, I mentioned that Israel had begun to mobilize its Army Reserve. It's an indication of where they see the situation heading. Israeli jets attacked a second day. On 10 May, the Israeli military said that Israel is carrying out an attack on Iranian targets in Syria.

Israel hopes to involve that US more directly in its clash with Iran and friendship notwithstanding and the movement of the US Embassy to Jerusalem notwithstanding, I hope that the US will resist becoming more directly involved with the present clash between Iran and Israel (funded by Barack's generous gift to Iran).

The Israel Defense Force spokesperson for Arabic media said that "the Israeli air force is currently attacking Iranian targets in Syria. Any Syrian attempt to respond will be met with a tough Israeli reaction."

Israeli press reported a military statement that earlier on the 10th, Iranian Islamic Revolution Guards Corps (IRGC) - Qods force personnel in Syria launched a barrage of 20 rockets at Israeli targets in the Golan Heights. The Israeli air attack was in retaliation for the rocket attack.

The Israeli military said several of the rockets had been intercepted by Israel's missile defense system. No one was injured on the Israeli side.

Israel rarely provides a real-time statement about an operation in progress. The spokesman said the rocket attack was the first time Iran fired directly at Israeli soldiers. 

In mid-April an Iranian armed drone penetrated Israeli airspace and was downed, in the first Iranian hostile act against Israeli territory. The drone was launched from Syria’s T4 airbase.

Syria blamed Israel for the exchange. The Syrian state news agency, SANA, reported that Israel fired on targets near the town of Quneitra, located just east of the Golan Heights. Syrian air defenses had responded, it said. It later reported a “new wave” of attacks.

The IRGC barrage also is the first time Iranian forces have retaliated for an Israeli attack. 

General war is not threatened now, but the confrontation is likely to escalate. Israel will attack Iranian facilities in Syria until the Iranians decide to leave. 

Last December, Israeli aircraft attacked Iranian facilities at Kisweh, killing 12 Iranian soldiers. Kisweh is an Iranian base location south of Damascus.

Iranian forces in Syria are in no condition to start a general war. They, the Syrians and Hizballah are bogged down in the Syrian civil war, which drags on. However, Iran and IRGC Qods Force commander, Major General Soleimani, are under pressure to respond to the repeated Israeli attacks that have killed IRGC soldiers. This week’s events show that Iran will retaliate.

As for the Iranian rockets, they are in use or lose mode. If Iran does not use them against Israel, Israel will destroy them.



9 comments:

  1. And Moscow seems very quiet, unless I'm missing something...

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    1. It's not their fight. They supply arms to Iran - or anything else for hard cash. Russia needs income from whatever source. Russia has also had a better relationship with Israel since the USSR. The Russian Embassy is in Jerusalem...

      Iran would be so much better off if they'd simply work to better the condition of their people rather than causing mischief everywhere. However the mullahs are on a mission from their deity -- God or Satan?

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    2. I'm inclined towards... Satan.

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  2. Israel can take care of itself - no help need from us.

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    1. Yes, but they still would rather have US troops (a platoon would do - an armored brigade would be better) to serve as a tripwire for their own sense of wellbeing. I agree with you. It's not our fight -- but if Iran starts getting frosty like that, Jordan, Saudi Arabia, Egypt, the Emirates except for Qatar and maybe Bahrain. Others may also step in to stop the Shiia menace, because it threatens them as much as it does Israel.

      The days of Iran firing a couple of silkworm missiles at the US Fleet in the Gulf in the hopes that all Muslims would join them in jihad has passed. With the exception of a few satraps here and there, they stand alone. Everyone knows they're a-holes.

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  3. Doesn't Syria have the Russian S-400 air defense system that is supposed to be really badass? Seems like the IAF is not having much trouble defeating it.

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    1. No. They have elements of the Russian S-300 system. The Russians have deployed the S-400 system around their infrastructure in Syria but haven't used it to date.

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  4. A belated thank you for the update.

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