sunset from behind the wire

sunset from behind the wire

Monday, November 6, 2017

Magic Kingdom Commentary

There is always a lot going on in Saudi Arabia. It's an oil rich nation, it's the center of the Muslim World, and there are a number of political factions, most notably, the Wahhabists, who are absolute enemies of the US (and anyone who reads this blog). One of this blog's readers has asked me to comment more about goings on in the Magic Kingdom. I picked one item of recent note. I'll ad more about comings and goings including the ongoing struggle with Qatar in future blog posts.

In a televised address from Saudi Arabia on 4 November, Lebanese Prime Minister Saad al-Hariri announced his resignation from the office he has held since December 2016. He said that he resigned because he feared he would be assassinated, as his father Rafik al-Hariri was in 2005. He blamed Iran and its proxy, Hizballah. 
“I point frankly and without evasion to Iran, which sows sedition, destruction, and havoc everywhere it goes, as proven by its meddling in the domestic affairs of the Arab nation: in Lebanon, Syria, Iraq, Bahrain, and Yemen.”

“It is driven to do so by a deep-rooted grudge against the Arab nation and a wild desire to destroy and control it. Unfortunately, it found among our sons someone to cooperate with it, to openly announce their allegiance to it, and to attempt to abduct Lebanon from its Arab and international environment, with all the values and ideals it represents; by that I mean Hizballah, the Iranian arm, not only in Lebanon, but also in the Arab world.”
President Aoun demurred. The president of Lebanon said he would not accept the resignation of Prime Minister Saad al-Hariri until he returned from Saudi Arabia, palace sources said on 5 November.

This announcement from Saudi Arabia is unprecedented. It appears to reinforce Hariri’s fear of assassination and suggests that an attempt on his life was imminent.

The resignation has generated a flood of commentaries and assessments. Those that are pro-Sunni Arab support Hariri’s accusations. 

The resignation is a part of a blocking move in the struggle between the Saudis and the Iranians. The Saudis backed Hariri, but during his tenure, Hizballah’s influence and strength increased. Several commentators said the Saudis are looking for a stronger Sunni advocate in Beirut who can deny the Iranians access to the Mediterranean Sea via Lebanon.

Lebanon is in danger of becoming another political battle ground in the struggle between the Arabs and the Iranians. It is another ripple effect from the outcome of the Syrian civil war that leaves the Assad government in control in Damascus, with the help of the Iranians and Hizballah.

The Saudis (who openly fund al Qaeda) are a bulwark against Iran, now that USGOV destroyed Iraq and in effect, handed it to the Iranians/Shiites. (it's more complicated than that, but not much more)

I put a plan forward to wipe out ISIS leadership a few years ago, but USGOV rejected it as "immoral". Deciding what is and what is not 'immoral' in the Middle East is an exercise in frustration.  The Saudis, our allies, treat women worse than most of us treat our dogs. I try not to make value judgments, but that one is obvious. There have been some cracks in the veneer and Saudi women can now operate automobiles. It's a great leap forward. They still dress in black tents.

Some Political Questions

The Democrat Party is cracking at the seams and their iron grasp of the elected faithful in Congress may not hold through the end of the year. Is the only reliable political establishment in America that which has been recently established by Donald Trump?

The Jeb! wing of the Republican Party has been tossed out because whether or not you want to admit it, they were "With HER". And when Donald Trump was elected president, they joined with the Democrats to marginalize President Trump.

Now we know from a number of sources including Donna Brazil that the DNC was simply a mechanism to launder campaign funding, to strangle Bernie Sanders and assure a Hillary Clinton victory. What many on this and other blogs have asserted for years including FBI corruption in a number of scandals, not the least of which included not investigating the Uranium One Scandal, the Seth Rich assassination, the Clinton Server Scandal, and so forth, is now headlines. 

Just a year ago, the Democrat candidate, Hillary Clinton was considered invincible.

Communism was considered invincible. Then the fall of the Berlin Wall started a domino effect that brought down six Soviet satellites in quick succession, and soon after the Soviet Union itself. Though communism’s failures were widely understood, no one thought it vulnerable to street demonstrations. In East Berlin in 1953, Hungary in 1956, and Czechoslovakia in 1968, it had demonstrated a willingness to crush dissent brutally. Moreover, for decades on end, the members of communist-ruled societies had displayed a remarkable tolerance for tyranny and inefficiency. They remained docile and even outwardly supportive of the status quo.


For all this submissiveness, it turned out that millions had been willing to revolt all along — if enough others would also revolt and they felt sufficiently sure of escaping punishment. But no one knew exactly what needed to happen to set off a successful uprising. In retrospect, all it took was a few thousand demonstrators calling for more freedom and a regime that signaled that it was afraid of overreacting. People standing on the sidelines suddenly found the courage to join in, and the East German revolt started feeding on itself.
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These are the questions I have for you, dear readers:

What are Democrats to do? Who is their standard bearer? What does their Party stand for?

What are Jeb! Republicans to do? Who is their standard bearer? What does their Party stand for?

Bernie Sanders, a communist/socialist wants to bring those broken principles of government to the USA - but they've never worked anywhere - ever (see above) What does Bernie's movement stand for?

Donald Trump was never really a Republican. He was and remains a proponent of limited government and a populist. Is he the only viable political solution in the USA? 

The questions are not rhetorical. 

Make America Great Again